Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jeļena OstapenkoOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

StuttgartclayR32Wednesday, April 15, 2026
No-vig market probability
Ostapenko 28%72% Andreeva
3.34Recorded odds1.31
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jeļena OstapenkoVSMirra Andreeva
7Set 15
2Set 26
4Set 36

Mirra Andreeva won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jeļena OstapenkoMirra Andreeva
44%
Career Win %
72%
25%
Win % on Clay
74%
62%
Holds Serve
73%
33%
Breaks Serve
41%
57%
1st Serve In
62%
64%
1st Serve Won
67%
43%
Return Pts Won
46%
3.0
Aces / match
2.9
70%
Tiebreak %
53%
46%
Deciding-set %
63%
1471
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jeļena Ostapenko91 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva115 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
1%Body
30%T
25%T
4%Body
18%Wide
18%Wide
2%Body
30%T
21%T
11%Body
17%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Jeļena Ostapenko 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 in the first round of the WTA 250 Stuttgart tournament on clay on 15 April 2026. Andreeva, the pre-match favourite at 1.31 odds, recovered from losing the opening set to dominate the final two frames and secure victory. Ostapenko, despite the higher odds of 3.34, could not maintain the intensity that earned her the first set, allowing Andreeva to assert control and progress through the early round. The result underscores Andreeva's resilience on clay and positions her favourably in the Stuttgart draw.