Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jeļena OstapenkoOpen full analysisPaula BadosaOpen full analysis

TorontohardR32Thursday, August 8, 2024
No-vig market probability
Ostapenko 34%66% Badosa
2.89Recorded odds1.47
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jeļena OstapenkoVSPaula Badosa
3Set 16
7Set 26
6Set 32

Jeļena Ostapenko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jeļena OstapenkoPaula Badosa
44%
Career Win %
58%
49%
Win % on Hard
52%
62%
Holds Serve
71%
33%
Breaks Serve
36%
57%
1st Serve In
61%
64%
1st Serve Won
68%
43%
Return Pts Won
44%
3.0
Aces / match
4.0
70%
Tiebreak %
40%
46%
Deciding-set %
56%
1471
Rating
1611
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jeļena Ostapenko91 serves
Where they place their serve
Paula Badosa93 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
10%Body
21%T
18%T
15%Body
14%Wide
24%Wide
24%Body
4%T
19%T
13%Body
16%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jeļena Ostapenko defeated Paula Badosa 3–6, 7–6, 6–2 in the second round of the Toronto Masters 1000 on hard court, upsetting the pre-match favourite Badosa. After dropping the opening set, Ostapenko forced a decisive third frame by winning a competitive second-set tie-break, then dominated the final set to secure victory. The result marks a significant turnaround for Ostapenko, who recovered from a set down against the higher-seeded Spaniard to advance deeper into the tournament.