Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaOpen full analysisKateřina SiniakováOpen full analysis

WuhanhardQFFriday, October 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Pegula 68%32% Siniaková
1.43Recorded odds3.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSKateřina Siniaková
2Set 16
6Set 20
6Set 33

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaKateřina Siniaková
60%
Career Win %
35%
62%
Win % on Hard
33%
72%
Holds Serve
60%
36%
Breaks Serve
31%
62%
1st Serve In
63%
66%
1st Serve Won
60%
44%
Return Pts Won
42%
2.9
Aces / match
1.4
53%
Tiebreak %
33%
54%
Deciding-set %
50%
1809
Rating
1460
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula67 serves
Where they place their serve
Kateřina Siniaková66 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
6%Body
28%T
21%T
6%Body
21%Wide
20%Wide
20%Body
14%T
15%T
17%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide20%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Kateřina Siniaková 2–6, 6–0, 6–3 in the Wuhan Masters 1000 quarter-final on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.43. After dropping the opening set, Pegula produced a dominant second frame, shutting out Siniaková completely before consolidating her advantage in the third to advance to the semi-finals. The American's recovery from a sluggish start demonstrated composure and tactical adjustment, reversing the early momentum to control the remainder of the encounter. Pegula's progression keeps her on track in one of the season's most significant hard-court tournaments.