Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaOpen full analysisLinda NoskováOpen full analysis

BeijinghardSFSaturday, October 4, 2025
No-vig market probability
Pegula 62%38% Nosková
1.59Recorded odds2.54
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSLinda Nosková
3Set 16
6Set 21
6Set 37

Linda Nosková won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaLinda Nosková
60%
Career Win %
51%
62%
Win % on Hard
57%
72%
Holds Serve
73%
36%
Breaks Serve
27%
62%
1st Serve In
61%
66%
1st Serve Won
69%
44%
Return Pts Won
40%
2.9
Aces / match
4.9
53%
Tiebreak %
44%
54%
Deciding-set %
40%
1809
Rating
1628
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula113 serves
Where they place their serve
Linda Nosková105 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
17%Body
24%T
19%T
13%Body
15%Wide
14%Wide
9%Body
30%T
23%T
6%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T24%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Linda Nosková defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 1–6, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Beijing Masters 1000 on hard court, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Pegula, seeded higher and backed at 1.59 odds, dominated the second set to level the match, but Nosková recovered from that setback to edge the decider in a tight third-set tiebreak. The Czech player's ability to absorb pressure and find solutions in the final set proved decisive, as she clawed back from a precarious position to reach the final. Nosková's comeback victory marks a significant scalp and suggests improving form heading into the tournament's climax.