Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaOpen full analysisMccartney KesslerOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Thursday, January 22, 2026
No-vig market probability
Pegula 77%23% Kessler
1.23Recorded odds4.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSMccartney Kessler
6Set 10
6Set 22

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaMccartney Kessler
60%
Career Win %
33%
62%
Win % on Hard
38%
72%
Holds Serve
57%
36%
Breaks Serve
24%
62%
1st Serve In
64%
66%
1st Serve Won
60%
44%
Return Pts Won
39%
2.9
Aces / match
1.5
53%
Tiebreak %
67%
54%
Deciding-set %
50%
1809
Rating
1484
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula40 serves
Where they place their serve
Mccartney Kessler39 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
18%Body
20%T
15%T
12%Body
18%Wide
8%Wide
31%Body
15%T
13%T
26%Body
8%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T20%
Top targetDeuce · Body31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Mccartney Kessler 6–0, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 22 January 2026. As the clear pre-match favourite with odds of 1.23 to Kessler's 4.1, Pegula delivered an expected dominant performance, losing only two games across the opening set and four in total. The American's commanding display saw her advance comfortably to the second round, maintaining momentum as a seeded player in the early stages of the year's opening Grand Slam.