Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

Monte Carlo MastersclayR16Thursday, April 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 58%42% Berrettini
1.63Recorded odds2.24
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSMatteo Berrettini
6Set 13
6Set 22

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaMatteo Berrettini
59%
Career Win %
59%
56%
Win % on Clay
58%
84%
Holds Serve
88%
20%
Breaks Serve
15%
66%
1st Serve In
65%
71%
1st Serve Won
78%
36%
Return Pts Won
34%
5.5
Aces / match
10.6
53%
Tiebreak %
57%
44%
Deciding-set %
50%
1601
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca44 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini51 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
5%Body
25%T
14%T
5%Body
30%Wide
20%Wide
2%Body
29%T
6%T
12%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3, 6-2 in the Monte Carlo Masters Round of 16 on clay on 9 April 2026, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.63 to Berrettini's 2.24. The Brazilian's commanding performance saw him secure the first set by a break before extending his advantage in the second, where a further service break proved decisive in reaching the quarter-finals. Berrettini, returning to form on his preferred surface after recent struggles, could not maintain the consistency required against Fonseca's aggressive baseline play and court positioning. The victory underscores Fonseca's growing credentials on clay and suggests momentum building towards the French Open.