Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaOpen full analysisRafael JodarOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayR32Sunday, April 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 45%55% Jodar
2.11Recorded odds1.70
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSRafael Jodar
6Set 17
6Set 24
1Set 36

Rafael Jodar won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaRafael Jodar
59%
Career Win %
61%
56%
Win % on Clay
67%
84%
Holds Serve
75%
20%
Breaks Serve
26%
66%
1st Serve In
64%
71%
1st Serve Won
69%
36%
Return Pts Won
40%
5.5
Aces / match
3.3
53%
Tiebreak %
40%
44%
Deciding-set %
60%
1601
Rating
1584
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca83 serves
Where they place their serve
Rafael Jodar96 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
4%Body
28%T
10%T
6%Body
31%Wide
21%Wide
7%Body
23%T
19%T
3%Body
27%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetAd · Wide27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Rafael Jodar defeated Joao Fonseca 7–6, 4–6, 6–1 in the second round of the Madrid Masters on clay on 26 April 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite. The match unfolded in three distinct phases: a tight opening set decided by tie-break, a competitive second set claimed by Fonseca, and a decisive third frame where Jodar's superiority became apparent. Jodar's comeback from a set down demonstrates the resilience required on the Madrid clay, where momentum shifts are common. The result keeps Jodar on course in the tournament and reinforces his seeding credentials at this Masters 1000 event.