Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaOpen full analysisThiago MonteiroOpen full analysis

Rio de JaneiroclayR32Tuesday, February 17, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 73%27% Monteiro
1.30Recorded odds3.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSThiago Monteiro
7Set 16
6Set 21

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaThiago Monteiro
59%
Career Win %
38%
56%
Win % on Clay
62%
84%
Holds Serve
84%
20%
Breaks Serve
14%
66%
1st Serve In
65%
71%
1st Serve Won
72%
36%
Return Pts Won
33%
5.5
Aces / match
7.4
53%
Tiebreak %
40%
44%
Deciding-set %
33%
1601
Rating
1503
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca60 serves
Where they place their serve
Thiago Monteiro61 serves
Where they place their serve
33%Wide
2%Body
17%T
17%T
7%Body
25%Wide
13%Wide
5%Body
34%T
7%T
3%Body
38%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
Top targetAd · Wide38%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Thiago Monteiro 7–6, 6–1 in the first round of the ATP 250 Rio de Janeiro tournament on clay on 17 February 2026. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.3, Fonseca delivered an expected victory, though Monteiro offered modest resistance in a competitive opening set that went to a tiebreak before the Brazilian asserted control in the second. The dominant second-set performance underscored Fonseca's superiority on home soil, where conditions favour his game. The result advances Fonseca deeper into his home tournament, reinforcing his status as a leading contender at this level.