Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaOpen full analysisTomáš MacháčOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 47%53% Macháč
2.09Recorded odds1.83
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSTomáš Macháč
6Set 17
2Set 26
3Set 36

Tomáš Macháč won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaTomáš Macháč
59%
Career Win %
50%
60%
Win % on Hard
48%
84%
Holds Serve
78%
20%
Breaks Serve
18%
66%
1st Serve In
62%
71%
1st Serve Won
69%
36%
Return Pts Won
35%
5.5
Aces / match
5.1
53%
Tiebreak %
64%
44%
Deciding-set %
62%
1601
Rating
1534
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca77 serves
Where they place their serve
Tomáš Macháč93 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
6%Body
32%T
17%T
4%Body
26%Wide
28%Wide
1%Body
25%T
18%T
2%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T32%
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tomáš Macháč defeated Joao Fonseca 7–6, 6–2, 6–3 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 27 August 2025, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite. Macháč's victory was methodical rather than dominant; the opening set went to a tiebreak before he asserted control in the second and third frames. Fonseca, competing at a Grand Slam stage, struggled to maintain the intensity required against the Czech player's composed performance. The result extends Macháč's early-round record at Flushing Meadows and positions him favourably for the second round.