Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaOpen full analysisUgo HumbertOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 43%57% Humbert
2.27Recorded odds1.69
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSUgo Humbert
6Set 14
6Set 23

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaUgo Humbert
60%
Career Win %
52%
61%
Win % on Hard
57%
84%
Holds Serve
85%
20%
Breaks Serve
16%
66%
1st Serve In
64%
71%
1st Serve Won
74%
37%
Return Pts Won
35%
5.4
Aces / match
6.3
53%
Tiebreak %
48%
47%
Deciding-set %
31%
1614
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca40 serves
Where they place their serve
Ugo Humbert53 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
10%Body
28%T
12%T
10%Body
22%Wide
9%Wide
4%Body
40%T
9%T
4%Body
34%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetDeuce · T40%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Ugo Humbert 6–4, 6–3 in the first round of the Miami Masters, a hard-court ATP Masters 1000 event, on 22 March 2025. The result constituted an upset, as Humbert entered as the pre-match favourite at 1.69 odds to Fonseca's 2.27. Fonseca's composed performance across both sets, particularly his control in the second, proved decisive in dismantling the French player's challenge. The Brazilian's clinical execution and consistency in holding serve allowed him to dictate rallies and convert break opportunities when they arose. This victory signals Fonseca's growing confidence on the hard courts and suggests momentum heading into the second round.