Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jordan ThompsonOpen full analysisRafael NadalOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardQFFriday, January 5, 2024
No-vig market probability
Thompson 15%85% Nadal
6.62Recorded odds1.18
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jordan ThompsonVSRafael Nadal
5Set 17
7Set 26
6Set 33

Jordan Thompson won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jordan ThompsonRafael Nadal
50%
Career Win %
72%
65%
Win % on Hard
65%
80%
Holds Serve
84%
18%
Breaks Serve
27%
61%
1st Serve In
69%
72%
1st Serve Won
71%
35%
Return Pts Won
40%
7.2
Aces / match
3.5
67%
Tiebreak %
53%
50%
Deciding-set %
67%
1534
Rating
1728
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jordan Thompson109 serves
Where they place their serve
Rafael Nadal108 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
16%Body
15%T
18%T
11%Body
18%Wide
12%Wide
13%Body
27%T
6%T
23%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jordan Thompson upset Rafael Nadal 5–7, 7–6, 6–3 in the Brisbane ATP 250 quarter-final on hard court on 5 January 2024. Thompson, a significant underdog at 6.62 odds against Nadal's 1.18 favourite status, secured an unlikely victory in a match that went the distance. After dropping the opening set, Thompson recovered to win a tight second set via tiebreak before dominating the decider to advance. The result represents a notable upset and marks a significant scalp for Thompson, who will face a seeded opponent or fellow qualifier in the semi-final.