Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kamil MajchrzakOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

WimbledongrassR128Monday, June 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Majchrzak 14%86% Berrettini
7.18Recorded odds1.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kamil MajchrzakVSMatteo Berrettini
4Set 16
6Set 22
6Set 34
5Set 47
6Set 53

Kamil Majchrzak won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kamil MajchrzakMatteo Berrettini
40%
Career Win %
59%
100%
Win % on Grass
75%
82%
Holds Serve
88%
22%
Breaks Serve
15%
60%
1st Serve In
65%
71%
1st Serve Won
78%
38%
Return Pts Won
34%
6.9
Aces / match
10.6
43%
Tiebreak %
57%
50%
Deciding-set %
50%
1505
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kamil Majchrzak134 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini136 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
13%Body
24%T
12%T
7%Body
30%Wide
26%Wide
7%Body
21%T
26%T
5%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Kamil Majchrzak defeated Matteo Berrettini 4–6, 6–2, 6–4, 5–7, 6–3 in the first round of Wimbledon on grass, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Berrettini, who entered with odds of 1.13, was heavily favoured to progress, but Majchrzak's odds of 7.18 proved prescient as the Polish player recovered from losing the opening set to dominate the middle stages and secure the match in five. After Berrettini took the first set, Majchrzak shifted momentum decisively, winning the second and third sets with increasing confidence before Berrettini narrowly claimed the fourth to force a decider. Majchrzak's composure in the final set proved decisive as he closed out the victory. The result marks a notable scalp for Majchrzak and signals potential vulnerability in Berrettini's grass-court credentials heading deeper into the tournament.