Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Karolína MuchováOpen full analysisMarta KostyukOpen full analysis

WuhanhardR64Tuesday, October 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Muchová 52%48% Kostyuk
1.85Recorded odds2.03
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Karolína MuchováVSMarta Kostyuk
2Set 16
6Set 22
6Set 34

Karolína Muchová won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Karolína MuchováMarta Kostyuk
65%
Career Win %
61%
69%
Win % on Hard
63%
76%
Holds Serve
70%
34%
Breaks Serve
37%
63%
1st Serve In
60%
67%
1st Serve Won
68%
43%
Return Pts Won
44%
3.6
Aces / match
3.3
73%
Tiebreak %
55%
56%
Deciding-set %
50%
1746
Rating
1695
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Karolína Muchová85 serves
Where they place their serve
Marta Kostyuk94 serves
Where they place their serve
29%Wide
13%Body
9%T
26%T
13%Body
9%Wide
21%Wide
17%Body
13%T
13%T
19%Body
17%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Karolína Muchová defeated Marta Kostyuk 2–6, 6–2, 6–4 in the first round of the WTA 1000 event in Wuhan on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.85. After losing the opening set, Muchová regrouped decisively, taking the second set with a 6–2 scoreline before closing out the match in the third. The Czech player's ability to adjust tactically after a sluggish start proved decisive against Kostyuk, who could not maintain the intensity that earned her the first set. Muchová's comeback victory demonstrates the resilience required at Masters 1000 level and positions her well for the second round.