Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kateřina SiniakováOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR32Monday, March 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Siniaková 19%81% Andreeva
4.86Recorded odds1.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kateřina SiniakováVSMirra Andreeva
4Set 16
7Set 26
6Set 33

Kateřina Siniaková won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kateřina SiniakováMirra Andreeva
35%
Career Win %
72%
33%
Win % on Hard
70%
60%
Holds Serve
73%
31%
Breaks Serve
41%
63%
1st Serve In
62%
60%
1st Serve Won
67%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
1.4
Aces / match
2.9
33%
Tiebreak %
53%
50%
Deciding-set %
63%
1460
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kateřina Siniaková128 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva115 serves
Where they place their serve
13%Wide
11%Body
27%T
25%T
9%Body
16%Wide
28%Wide
5%Body
18%T
21%T
13%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Kateřina Siniaková upset pre-match favourite Mirra Andreeva 4–6, 7–6, 6–3 in the Indian Wells R32 on hard court on 9 March 2026. Despite entering as a substantial underdog at 4.86 odds, Siniaková recovered from losing the opening set to force a tiebreak in the second, which she won to level the match. The Czech player then controlled the decider, securing a decisive third-set victory to advance. The result represents a notable scalp for Siniaková against Andreeva, who had been favoured to progress at the Masters 1000 event.