Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Katie BoulterOpen full analysisPeyton StearnsOpen full analysis

MiamihardR128Wednesday, March 19, 2025
No-vig market probability
Boulter 48%52% Stearns
2.02Recorded odds1.87
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Katie BoulterVSPeyton Stearns
4Set 16
2Set 26

Peyton Stearns won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Katie BoulterPeyton Stearns
44%
Career Win %
46%
47%
Win % on Hard
44%
64%
Holds Serve
63%
30%
Breaks Serve
39%
59%
1st Serve In
64%
65%
1st Serve Won
61%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
2.7
Aces / match
2.5
67%
Tiebreak %
62%
71%
Deciding-set %
22%
1488
Rating
1543
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Katie Boulter54 serves
Where they place their serve
Peyton Stearns55 serves
Where they place their serve
11%Wide
24%Body
17%T
15%T
26%Body
7%Wide
20%Wide
24%Body
7%T
7%T
29%Body
13%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body26%
Top targetAd · Body29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Peyton Stearns defeated Katie Boulter 6–4, 6–2 at the Miami Masters 1000 on hard court in the first round on 19 March 2025. Stearns, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.87, converted her status into a convincing victory, breaking serve consistently to control both sets. Boulter, despite entering as a slight underdog at 2.02, struggled to maintain competitive intensity as Stearns' aggressive baseline play dictated rallies throughout. The American's superiority in the opening set proved decisive, and she accelerated through the second to secure a straightforward progression. Stearns' commanding performance underscores her current form heading into the tournament's deeper rounds.