Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Katie BoulterOpen full analysisSorana CirsteaOpen full analysis

OsakahardR16Wednesday, October 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Boulter 46%54% Cirstea
2.13Recorded odds1.78
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Katie BoulterVSSorana Cirstea
3Set 16
1Set 26

Sorana Cirstea won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Katie BoulterSorana Cirstea
44%
Career Win %
48%
47%
Win % on Hard
58%
64%
Holds Serve
66%
30%
Breaks Serve
34%
59%
1st Serve In
61%
65%
1st Serve Won
64%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.7
Aces / match
3.1
67%
Tiebreak %
56%
71%
Deciding-set %
30%
1488
Rating
1622
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Katie Boulter48 serves
Where they place their serve
Sorana Cirstea44 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
17%Body
10%T
17%T
25%Body
8%Wide
18%Wide
11%Body
25%T
9%T
14%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body25%
Top targetDeuce · T25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sorana Cirstea defeated Katie Boulter 6–3, 6–1 in the Round of 16 at the WTA 250 event in Osaka on a hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.78 to Boulter's 2.13. Cirstea's dominance was evident from the outset, breaking serve repeatedly to secure the first set before accelerating through the second, where she won five consecutive games to close out the match in straight sets. Boulter offered little resistance, particularly in the second set, as the Romanian's aggressive baseline play and court positioning proved decisive. The result extends Cirstea's winning form in Asia and positions her favourably in the tournament's draw.