Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kei NishikoriOpen full analysisMatteo ArnaldiOpen full analysis

Canada MastershardQFSaturday, August 10, 2024
No-vig market probability
Nishikori 37%63% Arnaldi
2.63Recorded odds1.54
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kei NishikoriVSMatteo Arnaldi
4Set 16
5Set 27

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kei NishikoriMatteo Arnaldi
53%
Career Win %
38%
45%
Win % on Hard
32%
77%
Holds Serve
72%
22%
Breaks Serve
19%
62%
1st Serve In
57%
68%
1st Serve Won
68%
38%
Return Pts Won
36%
2.9
Aces / match
5.3
41%
Tiebreak %
50%
60%
Deciding-set %
29%
1604
Rating
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kei Nishikori76 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Arnaldi73 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
12%Body
17%T
13%T
12%Body
22%Wide
26%Wide
5%Body
19%T
14%T
11%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Kei Nishikori 6–4, 7–5 in the quarter-final of the ATP Canada Masters on hard court on 10 August 2024, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.54 to Nishikori's 2.63. The Italian maintained control throughout, securing the first set with a break and then withstanding pressure in the second to close out victory in straight sets. Arnaldi's composed performance underlined his growing credentials on the Masters 1000 circuit, whilst Nishikori's exit marked another setback for the former US Open finalist in his pursuit of consistent results at the highest level. The result advances Arnaldi to the semi-finals in Montreal.