Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kei NishikoriOpen full analysisThiago MonteiroOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Sunday, January 12, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nishikori 80%20% Monteiro
1.22Recorded odds4.82
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kei NishikoriVSThiago Monteiro
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 35
6Set 42
6Set 53

Kei Nishikori won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kei NishikoriThiago Monteiro
53%
Career Win %
38%
45%
Win % on Hard
0%
77%
Holds Serve
84%
22%
Breaks Serve
14%
62%
1st Serve In
65%
68%
1st Serve Won
72%
38%
Return Pts Won
33%
2.9
Aces / match
7.4
41%
Tiebreak %
40%
60%
Deciding-set %
33%
1604
Rating
1503
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kei Nishikori140 serves
Where they place their serve
Thiago Monteiro169 serves
Where they place their serve
26%Wide
7%Body
20%T
21%T
2%Body
23%Wide
22%Wide
12%Body
19%T
18%T
7%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
Top targetAd · Wide23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Kei Nishikori defeated Thiago Monteiro 4–6, 6–7, 7–5, 6–2, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court. As the clear pre-match favourite at 1.22 odds, Nishikori delivered the expected result, though Monteiro's competitive opening two sets—both decided by narrow margins—suggested genuine resistance. The Japanese veteran found his rhythm in the third set, breaking through at 7–5 before dominating the final two sets with increasingly commanding tennis. The comeback from two sets down showcased Nishikori's experience and mental resilience on a surface where he has historically performed well. The victory advances Nishikori into the second round and demonstrates his capacity to navigate tricky early-round opponents at a Grand Slam.