Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kimberly BirrellOpen full analysisVictoria MbokoOpen full analysis

AdelaidehardSFFriday, January 16, 2026
No-vig market probability
Birrell 21%79% Mboko
4.54Recorded odds1.19
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kimberly BirrellVSVictoria Mboko
2Set 16
1Set 26

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kimberly BirrellVictoria Mboko
12%
Career Win %
62%
14%
Win % on Hard
61%
50%
Holds Serve
69%
17%
Breaks Serve
35%
63%
1st Serve In
65%
57%
1st Serve Won
67%
35%
Return Pts Won
44%
1.0
Aces / match
4.1
33%
Tiebreak %
50%
50%
Deciding-set %
100%
1388
Rating
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kimberly Birrell46 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Mboko40 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
13%Body
17%T
17%T
15%Body
13%Wide
22%Wide
0%Body
28%T
18%T
10%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko defeated Kimberly Birrell 6–2, 6–1 in the semi-final of the WTA 250 Adelaide event on hard court on 16 January 2026, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with a dominant performance. Birrell, competing as the underdog at odds of 4.54 to Mboko's 1.19, offered minimal resistance as the favourite progressed to the final with a comprehensive two-set victory. Mboko's commanding display underlined her credentials heading into the championship match, whilst Birrell's semi-final exit marked the end of a promising run in South Australia.