Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Leylah FernandezOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

MadridclayQFTuesday, April 28, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fernandez 32%68% Andreeva
3.00Recorded odds1.38
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Leylah FernandezVSMirra Andreeva
6Set 17
3Set 26

Mirra Andreeva won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Leylah FernandezMirra Andreeva
53%
Career Win %
72%
38%
Win % on Clay
74%
72%
Holds Serve
73%
32%
Breaks Serve
41%
65%
1st Serve In
62%
66%
1st Serve Won
67%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
2.2
Aces / match
2.9
54%
Tiebreak %
53%
64%
Deciding-set %
63%
1578
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Leylah Fernandez62 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva83 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
2%Body
34%T
21%T
3%Body
23%Wide
28%Wide
10%Body
13%T
30%T
10%Body
10%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T34%
Top targetAd · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Leylah Fernandez 7–6, 6–3 in the Madrid Masters 1000 quarter-final on clay on 28 April 2026, confirming her status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.38 to Fernandez's 3.0. Andreeva's victory came in a competitive opening set that went to a tie-break before she established clearer control in the second, breaking Fernandez's resistance to secure passage to the semi-finals. The result underscores Andreeva's growing consistency on the WTA circuit and her improved ability to close out tight matches against established competitors on clay, where tactical nous and baseline endurance often determine outcomes.