Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Leylah FernandezOpen full analysisPolona HercogOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR64Thursday, October 1, 2020
No-vig market probability
Fernandez 39%61% Hercog
2.47Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Leylah FernandezVSPolona Hercog
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 31

Leylah Fernandez won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Leylah FernandezPolona Hercog
53%
Career Win %
42%
38%
Win % on Clay
62%
72%
Holds Serve
65%
32%
Breaks Serve
34%
65%
1st Serve In
57%
66%
1st Serve Won
63%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.2
Aces / match
2.3
54%
Tiebreak %
40%
64%
Deciding-set %
38%
1578
Rating
1501
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Leylah Fernandez87 serves
Where they place their serve
Polona Hercog98 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
16%Body
18%T
13%T
13%Body
23%Wide
19%Wide
17%Body
15%T
19%T
14%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide23%
Top targetDeuce · Wide19%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Leylah Fernandez defeated Polona Hercog 6–4, 3–6, 6–1 in the first round of Roland Garros 2020 on clay, upsetting the pre-match favourite Hercog. The Canadian teenager, competing at long odds of 2.47, recovered from dropping the second set to dominate the decider, claiming the opening two frames through a combination of aggressive play and composure. Hercog, seeded as the favourite at 1.6, struggled to maintain consistency across the match, particularly in the third set where Fernandez's momentum proved decisive. The victory marked an important scalp for the young Canadian at a Grand Slam and demonstrated her capacity to compete against established opponents on the tour's slowest surface.