Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Leylah FernandezOpen full analysisVarvara GrachevaOpen full analysis

TokyohardR16Tuesday, October 22, 2024
No-vig market probability
Fernandez 75%25% Gracheva
1.30Recorded odds3.82
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Leylah FernandezVSVarvara Gracheva
6Set 10
3Set 26
7Set 35

Leylah Fernandez won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Leylah FernandezVarvara Gracheva
53%
Career Win %
27%
58%
Win % on Hard
31%
72%
Holds Serve
52%
32%
Breaks Serve
35%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
66%
1st Serve Won
56%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.2
Aces / match
1.3
54%
Tiebreak %
50%
64%
Deciding-set %
33%
1578
Rating
1447
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Leylah Fernandez80 serves
Where they place their serve
Varvara Gracheva88 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
8%Body
32%T
6%T
14%Body
26%Wide
25%Wide
23%Body
6%T
9%T
18%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T32%
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Leylah Fernandez defeated Varvara Gracheva 6–0, 3–6, 7–5 in the round of 16 at the WTA 250 event in Tokyo on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.3 to Gracheva's 3.82. Fernandez dominated the opening set with a bagel, but Gracheva mounted a response in the second to level the match. The decider proved competitive, with Fernandez prevailing in a tight third set to secure her place in the quarter-finals. The Canadian's ability to recover from a dropped set and close out the match under pressure demonstrates her mental resilience on the hard-court surface.