Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisMarton FucsovicsOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR64Friday, March 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Musetti 72%28% Fucsovics
1.31Recorded odds3.38
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSMarton Fucsovics
5Set 17
1Set 26

Marton Fucsovics won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiMarton Fucsovics
56%
Career Win %
41%
45%
Win % on Hard
43%
79%
Holds Serve
74%
22%
Breaks Serve
22%
64%
1st Serve In
58%
69%
1st Serve Won
68%
38%
Return Pts Won
38%
3.7
Aces / match
3.4
45%
Tiebreak %
50%
69%
Deciding-set %
40%
1634
Rating
1515
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti65 serves
Where they place their serve
Marton Fucsovics58 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
5%Body
31%T
25%T
12%Body
12%Wide
22%Wide
10%Body
21%T
14%T
5%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marton Fucsovics defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7–5, 6–1 in the first round of the ATP Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 6 March 2026, producing an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Musetti, priced at 1.31 odds, was the clear favourite entering the match, but Fucsovics capitalised on inconsistency from his Italian opponent to claim a commanding win. The Hungarian's dominance grew as the match progressed, particularly in the second set, where he conceded only one game to seal a straightforward progression. The emphatic nature of the victory suggests Fucsovics has found form heading into the tournament's later rounds.