Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisNovak DjokovićOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardQFWednesday, January 28, 2026
No-vig market probability
Musetti 28%72% Djoković
3.38Recorded odds1.31
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSNovak Djoković
6Set 14
6Set 23
1Set 33

Novak Djoković won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiNovak Djoković
56%
Career Win %
77%
45%
Win % on Hard
79%
79%
Holds Serve
86%
22%
Breaks Serve
28%
64%
1st Serve In
65%
69%
1st Serve Won
73%
38%
Return Pts Won
40%
3.7
Aces / match
5.9
45%
Tiebreak %
61%
69%
Deciding-set %
71%
1634
Rating
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti64 serves
Where they place their serve
Novak Djoković85 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
6%Body
25%T
25%T
11%Body
11%Wide
22%Wide
7%Body
24%T
22%T
1%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T25%
Top targetDeuce · T24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Novak Djoković defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6–4, 6–3 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard court on 28 January 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.31 to Musetti's 3.38. The Serbian top seed controlled the encounter with clinical efficiency, claiming both opening sets before Musetti mounted a brief recovery in the third, reaching 3–1 before Djoković closed out the match. The result represents a commanding performance by the defending champion, who continues his pursuit of another Grand Slam title at Melbourne Park.