Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisOtto VirtanenOpen full analysis

Rome MastersclayR64Friday, May 9, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 90%10% Virtanen
1.08Recorded odds9.61
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSOtto Virtanen
6Set 13
6Set 22

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiOtto Virtanen
56%
Career Win %
53%
67%
Win % on Clay
0%
79%
Holds Serve
78%
22%
Breaks Serve
17%
64%
1st Serve In
59%
69%
1st Serve Won
73%
38%
Return Pts Won
35%
3.7
Aces / match
12.4
45%
Tiebreak %
40%
69%
Deciding-set %
40%
1634
Rating
1514
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti53 serves
Where they place their serve
Otto Virtanen65 serves
Where they place their serve
8%Wide
9%Body
34%T
6%T
2%Body
42%Wide
11%Wide
15%Body
25%T
6%T
11%Body
32%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide42%
Top targetAd · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Otto Virtanen 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the Rome Masters on clay, confirming pre-match odds that heavily favoured the Italian. Musetti, priced at 1.08, controlled the match against the qualifier Virtanen, who entered at 9.61. The Italian's dominance on his preferred surface was evident in a straightforward victory that required little over an hour. This result maintains Musetti's strong positioning at the Italian Open, where clay remains his natural habitat and where he will face stiffer opposition in the round of 32.