Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisRoman SafiullinOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR64Friday, March 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 52%48% Safiullin
1.87Recorded odds2.03
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSRoman Safiullin
7Set 15
5Set 27
6Set 32

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiRoman Safiullin
56%
Career Win %
6%
45%
Win % on Hard
0%
79%
Holds Serve
76%
22%
Breaks Serve
14%
64%
1st Serve In
60%
69%
1st Serve Won
68%
38%
Return Pts Won
33%
3.7
Aces / match
7.3
45%
Tiebreak %
11%
69%
Deciding-set %
17%
1634
Rating
1439
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti107 serves
Where they place their serve
Roman Safiullin100 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
5%Body
24%T
13%T
7%Body
28%Wide
30%Wide
13%Body
8%T
12%T
17%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Roman Safiullin 7–5, 5–7, 6–2 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.87 to Safiullin's 2.03. The Italian recovered from dropping the second set to assert control in the decider, securing a commanding performance in the third frame. The match showcased Musetti's ability to manage a competitive opponent across three sets, with Safiullin proving competitive through the middle stages before losing momentum. Musetti's progression keeps him on course in the Masters 1000 draw at Indian Wells.