Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisSebastian KordaOpen full analysis

AthenshardSFFriday, November 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 54%46% Korda
1.82Recorded odds2.11
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSSebastian Korda
6Set 10
5Set 27
7Set 35

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiSebastian Korda
56%
Career Win %
37%
45%
Win % on Hard
39%
79%
Holds Serve
81%
22%
Breaks Serve
15%
64%
1st Serve In
62%
69%
1st Serve Won
72%
38%
Return Pts Won
34%
3.7
Aces / match
8.0
45%
Tiebreak %
39%
69%
Deciding-set %
44%
1634
Rating
1512
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti102 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Korda84 serves
Where they place their serve
21%Wide
9%Body
24%T
28%T
4%Body
15%Wide
21%Wide
8%Body
23%T
14%T
10%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T28%
Top targetAd · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Sebastian Korda 6–0, 5–7, 7–5 in the ATP 250 Athens semi-final on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.82 to Korda's 2.11. Musetti's opening set proved dominant, but Korda mounted a competitive response in the second, forcing a decider. The Italian ultimately prevailed in a tight final set to book his place in the final. The result extends Musetti's recent form at the tournament and sets up a final appearance where he will seek his second ATP title of the season.