Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisTaylor FritzOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR16Monday, January 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Musetti 45%55% Fritz
2.10Recorded odds1.72
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSTaylor Fritz
6Set 12
7Set 25
6Set 34

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiTaylor Fritz
56%
Career Win %
56%
45%
Win % on Hard
54%
79%
Holds Serve
88%
22%
Breaks Serve
17%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
69%
1st Serve Won
78%
38%
Return Pts Won
35%
3.7
Aces / match
10.0
45%
Tiebreak %
47%
69%
Deciding-set %
36%
1634
Rating
1680
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti81 serves
Where they place their serve
Taylor Fritz84 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
5%Body
35%T
30%T
4%Body
14%Wide
15%Wide
8%Body
30%T
18%T
0%Body
29%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T35%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Taylor Fritz 6–2, 7–5, 6–4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, upsetting the pre-match favourite despite Fritz's superior odds of 1.72 to Musetti's 2.1. The Italian controlled proceedings throughout, securing the opening set decisively before edging a competitive second set and consolidating his advantage in the third to advance to the quarter-finals. The result marks a significant scalp for Musetti and suggests momentum building in his campaign at Melbourne Park.