Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisTomas Martin EtcheverryOpen full analysis

Hong KonghardR16Wednesday, January 7, 2026
No-vig market probability
Musetti 72%28% Etcheverry
1.30Recorded odds3.40
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSTomas Martin Etcheverry
6Set 17
6Set 22
6Set 34

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiTomas Martin Etcheverry
56%
Career Win %
48%
45%
Win % on Hard
50%
79%
Holds Serve
81%
22%
Breaks Serve
21%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
69%
1st Serve Won
73%
38%
Return Pts Won
37%
3.7
Aces / match
7.4
45%
Tiebreak %
46%
69%
Deciding-set %
71%
1634
Rating
1538
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti96 serves
Where they place their serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry94 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
12%Body
24%T
20%T
12%Body
15%Wide
21%Wide
16%Body
14%T
23%T
4%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T24%
Top targetAd · T23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry at the ATP 250 Hong Kong tournament on hard court in the round of 16, with a final score of 6–7, 6–2, 6–4. Musetti, the pre-match favourite at 1.3 odds, secured the result as expected despite a competitive opening set that went to a tiebreak. After losing the first set, the Italian regained control in the second and third sets, breaking Etcheverry's resistance to advance. The victory consolidates Musetti's position in the tournament and extends his winning record against the Argentine, maintaining momentum in his Hong Kong campaign.