Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiOpen full analysisValentin VacherotOpen full analysis

Monte Carlo MastersclayR32Wednesday, April 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Musetti 65%35% Vacherot
1.46Recorded odds2.68
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSValentin Vacherot
6Set 17
5Set 27

Valentin Vacherot won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiValentin Vacherot
56%
Career Win %
50%
67%
Win % on Clay
40%
79%
Holds Serve
82%
22%
Breaks Serve
16%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
69%
1st Serve Won
75%
38%
Return Pts Won
34%
3.7
Aces / match
8.7
45%
Tiebreak %
60%
69%
Deciding-set %
67%
1634
Rating
1529
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti95 serves
Where they place their serve
Valentin Vacherot71 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
3%Body
29%T
12%T
3%Body
34%Wide
15%Wide
14%Body
24%T
10%T
3%Body
34%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide34%
Top targetAd · Wide34%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Valentin Vacherot upset favourite Lorenzo Musetti 7–6, 7–5 in the second round of the ATP Monte Carlo Masters on clay on 8 April 2026. Despite entering as the clear pre-match favourite at odds of 1.46, Musetti could not convert his advantage against the unseeded Vacherot, who secured both sets in competitive fashion. The Italian's loss represents a significant upset at the prestigious M1000 event, where clay-court form typically favours established players like Musetti. Vacherot's victory suggests improved confidence and consistency on the surface, potentially reshaping their head-to-head dynamic and raising questions about Musetti's early-season clay preparation.