Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Luca NardiOpen full analysisNovak DjokovićOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR32Monday, March 11, 2024
No-vig market probability
Nardi 4%96% Djoković
25.37Recorded odds1.02
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Luca NardiVSNovak Djoković
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 33

Luca Nardi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Luca NardiNovak Djoković
22%
Career Win %
77%
29%
Win % on Hard
79%
69%
Holds Serve
86%
10%
Breaks Serve
28%
63%
1st Serve In
65%
67%
1st Serve Won
73%
30%
Return Pts Won
40%
3.2
Aces / match
5.9
0%
Tiebreak %
61%
50%
Deciding-set %
71%
1461
Rating
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Luca Nardi90 serves
Where they place their serve
Novak Djoković95 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
22%Body
12%T
12%T
14%Body
21%Wide
22%Wide
19%Body
12%T
18%T
7%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body22%
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Luca Nardi defeated Novak Djoković 6–4, 3–6, 6–3 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 11 March 2024, delivering a significant upset against the heavy favourite. Djoković entered the match as an overwhelming odds-on prospect at 1.02, with Nardi a 25.37 outsider, yet the Italian managed to control the opening set and reassert dominance in the decider after dropping the second. The result represents a notable scalp for the 22-year-old Nardi, who claimed one of the Masters 1000 circuit's most prestigious victories and demonstrated capacity to compete against the sport's elite on a fast hard court. The upset raises questions about Djoković's form and preparation during the early 2024 season.