Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Madison KeysOpen full analysisOleksandra OliynykovaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Tuesday, January 20, 2026
No-vig market probability
Keys 92%8% Oliynykova
1.03Recorded odds12.04
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Madison KeysVSOleksandra Oliynykova
7Set 16
6Set 21

Madison Keys won the match

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Madison Keys61 serves
Where they place their serve
Oleksandra Oliynykova80 serves
Where they place their serve
25%Wide
18%Body
11%T
11%T
21%Body
13%Wide
12%Wide
32%Body
6%T
5%T
39%Body
5%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
Top targetAd · Body39%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Madison Keys defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova 7–6, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.03. The American secured a competitive opening set via tiebreak before dominating the second to advance comfortably. Keys's decisive victory in the second set demonstrated control when it mattered, allowing her to progress without extended physical demand in the opening round. The result positions her favourably in her pursuit of a deep run at Melbourne.