Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Madison KeysOpen full analysisTereza ValentovaOpen full analysis

AdelaidehardR16Wednesday, January 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Keys 57%43% Valentova
1.64Recorded odds2.21
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Madison KeysVSTereza Valentova
6Set 14
6Set 21

Madison Keys won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Madison KeysTereza Valentova
60%
Career Win %
65%
61%
Win % on Hard
65%
76%
Holds Serve
71%
31%
Breaks Serve
39%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
69%
1st Serve Won
67%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
5.3
Aces / match
2.4
73%
Tiebreak %
38%
45%
Deciding-set %
75%
1659
Rating
1602
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Madison Keys76 serves
Where they place their serve
Tereza Valentova43 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
14%Body
8%T
13%T
21%Body
16%Wide
21%Wide
30%Body
5%T
14%T
9%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · Body30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Madison Keys defeated Tereza Valentova 6–4, 6–1 in the Adelaide WTA 250 round of 16 on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.64 to Valentova's 2.21. Keys controlled the opening set, breaking serve to secure a 6–4 victory before dominating the second, dropping only one game as she advanced with a comprehensive performance. The decisive margin reflected Keys's superior court positioning and consistency throughout the encounter. This victory maintains Keys's momentum in the early Australian summer season and sets up a quarterfinal appearance at Adelaide.