Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Marcos GironOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayR64Saturday, April 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Giron 18%82% Berrettini
5.38Recorded odds1.20
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Marcos GironVSMatteo Berrettini
7Set 16
6Set 27
1Set 36

Matteo Berrettini won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Marcos GironMatteo Berrettini
18%
Career Win %
59%
25%
Win % on Clay
58%
75%
Holds Serve
88%
14%
Breaks Serve
15%
60%
1st Serve In
65%
70%
1st Serve Won
78%
33%
Return Pts Won
34%
4.7
Aces / match
10.6
44%
Tiebreak %
57%
21%
Deciding-set %
50%
1408
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Marcos Giron105 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini97 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
1%Body
36%T
22%T
1%Body
24%Wide
21%Wide
3%Body
29%T
11%T
1%Body
35%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T36%
Top targetAd · Wide35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Berrettini defeated Marcos Giron 6–7 7–6 6–1 in the first round of the Madrid Masters on clay on 26 April 2025, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite despite odds of 1.2 suggesting a clear expectation of his victory. The match proved competitive through two tiebreak-decided sets before Berrettini asserted control in the third, breaking Giron's resistance decisively. The Italian's ability to navigate a tight opening phase and then dominate the decider underscores his form on the Spanish clay. Berrettini's progression maintains his momentum in the Masters 1000 calendar.