Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Maria SakkariOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sakkari 19%81% Andreeva
4.89Recorded odds1.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Maria SakkariVSMirra Andreeva
0Set 16
4Set 26

Mirra Andreeva won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Maria SakkariMirra Andreeva
47%
Career Win %
72%
46%
Win % on Hard
70%
68%
Holds Serve
73%
30%
Breaks Serve
41%
61%
1st Serve In
62%
65%
1st Serve Won
67%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
3.3
Aces / match
2.9
44%
Tiebreak %
53%
38%
Deciding-set %
63%
1587
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Maria Sakkari45 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva50 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
13%Body
24%T
29%T
9%Body
9%Wide
20%Wide
6%Body
26%T
14%T
14%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T29%
Top targetDeuce · T26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Maria Sakkari 6–0, 6–4 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 21 January 2026, a result that confirmed pre-match expectations as Andreeva was the heavy favourite at 1.17 odds. The Russian teenager dominated the opening set with a bagel, then controlled the second despite Sakkari's improved resistance to secure a commanding victory. The emphatic scoreline underscores Andreeva's growing threat at the Grand Slam level and represents a significant setback for Sakkari's form at Melbourne.