Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Marta KostyukOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

MadridclayFSaturday, May 2, 2026
No-vig market probability
Kostyuk 44%56% Andreeva
2.18Recorded odds1.68
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Marta KostyukVSMirra Andreeva
6Set 13
7Set 25

Marta Kostyuk won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Marta KostyukMirra Andreeva
61%
Career Win %
72%
64%
Win % on Clay
74%
70%
Holds Serve
73%
37%
Breaks Serve
41%
60%
1st Serve In
62%
68%
1st Serve Won
67%
44%
Return Pts Won
46%
3.3
Aces / match
2.9
55%
Tiebreak %
53%
50%
Deciding-set %
63%
1695
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Marta Kostyuk63 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva53 serves
Where they place their serve
37%Wide
3%Body
13%T
11%T
14%Body
22%Wide
23%Wide
4%Body
26%T
28%T
8%Body
11%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide37%
Top targetAd · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marta Kostyuk defeated Mirra Andreeva 6–3, 7–5 in the Madrid Masters 1000 final on clay, claiming an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Andreeva entered the match as the odds-on favourite at 1.68, but Kostyuk's composed performance across both sets proved decisive, particularly in a closely contested second set that went to 7–5. The Ukrainian secured the opening set with a commanding 6–3 scoreline, establishing early control on the Madrid clay. Though Andreeva mounted pressure in the second set, Kostyuk held firm to clinch the title. The result represents a significant breakthrough for Kostyuk at Masters 1000 level and marks her first title at this tier.