Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Matteo ArnaldiOpen full analysisTomáš MacháčOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Arnaldi 36%64% Macháč
2.68Recorded odds1.52
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Matteo ArnaldiVSTomáš Macháč
2Set 16
6Set 21
3Set 36

Tomáš Macháč won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Matteo ArnaldiTomáš Macháč
38%
Career Win %
50%
32%
Win % on Hard
48%
72%
Holds Serve
78%
19%
Breaks Serve
18%
57%
1st Serve In
62%
68%
1st Serve Won
69%
36%
Return Pts Won
35%
5.3
Aces / match
5.1
50%
Tiebreak %
64%
29%
Deciding-set %
62%
1462
Rating
1534
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Matteo Arnaldi74 serves
Where they place their serve
Tomáš Macháč77 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
7%Body
20%T
14%T
5%Body
30%Wide
29%Wide
1%Body
22%T
21%T
3%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tomáš Macháč defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6–2, 1–6, 6–3 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.52 to Arnaldi's 2.68. After Macháč claimed a dominant opening set, Arnaldi responded emphatically in the second to level the match, but the Czech player regained control in the decider to secure his passage. The result extends Macháč's winning record at this stage of Masters events and positions him favourably in his pursuit of deeper tournament runs this season.