Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Mattia BellucciOpen full analysisStéfanos TsitsipásOpen full analysis

RotterdamhardQFFriday, February 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bellucci 36%64% Tsitsipás
2.62Recorded odds1.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Mattia BellucciVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
6Set 14
6Set 22

Mattia Bellucci won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Mattia BellucciStéfanos Tsitsipás
50%
Career Win %
55%
53%
Win % on Hard
53%
80%
Holds Serve
86%
18%
Breaks Serve
15%
62%
1st Serve In
63%
71%
1st Serve Won
76%
36%
Return Pts Won
34%
6.8
Aces / match
7.4
50%
Tiebreak %
53%
50%
Deciding-set %
50%
1534
Rating
1596
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Mattia Bellucci57 serves
Where they place their serve
Stéfanos Tsitsipás58 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
4%Body
33%T
14%T
5%Body
28%Wide
26%Wide
2%Body
24%T
21%T
5%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T33%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mattia Bellucci defeated Stéfanos Tsitsipás 6–4, 6–2 in the quarter-final of the ATP 250 Rotterdam on hard court on 7 February 2025, delivering a significant upset over the pre-match favourite. Bellucci, trading at 2.62 odds, controlled proceedings throughout to advance decisively, whilst Tsitsipás, who entered as the 1.45 favourite, failed to impose his usual rhythm on court. The Italian's convincing victory—a double break in the second set proving decisive—marks a notable scalp at a tournament level where consistency against seeded opposition typically separates contenders from occasional challengers. Bellucci's progression to the semi-finals signals a timely surge in form and raises questions about Tsitsipás's current trajectory on the hard court.