Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Milos RaonicOpen full analysisTommy PaulOpen full analysis

WimbledongrassR64Thursday, July 6, 2023
No-vig market probability
Raonic 36%64% Paul
2.73Recorded odds1.52
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Milos RaonicVSTommy Paul
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 36
4Set 46

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Milos RaonicTommy Paul
52%
Career Win %
50%
42%
Win % on Grass
54%
90%
Holds Serve
80%
12%
Breaks Serve
21%
63%
1st Serve In
62%
81%
1st Serve Won
71%
31%
Return Pts Won
37%
15.6
Aces / match
5.1
55%
Tiebreak %
35%
44%
Deciding-set %
55%
1641
Rating
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Milos Raonic142 serves
Where they place their serve
Tommy Paul125 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
11%Body
21%T
11%T
6%Body
29%Wide
13%Wide
17%Body
22%T
10%T
11%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetAd · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Milos Raonic 6–4, 7–6, 6–7, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon 2023 on grass, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.52 against Raonic's 2.73. Paul's victory came in a competitive encounter that saw the match extend to four sets, with the third set decided in a tie-break before the American secured the decisive fourth set to advance. The result underscores Paul's growing grass-court credentials and represents a solid opening statement at the All England Club, whilst Raonic's early exit marks a disappointing campaign on a surface where he has historically performed well.