No-vig market probability
Raonic 36%64% Paul
2.73Recorded odds1.52
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Tommy Paul defeated Milos Raonic 6–4, 7–6, 6–7, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon 2023 on grass, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.52 against Raonic's 2.73. Paul's victory came in a competitive encounter that saw the match extend to four sets, with the third set decided in a tie-break before the American secured the decisive fourth set to advance. The result underscores Paul's growing grass-court credentials and represents a solid opening statement at the All England Club, whilst Raonic's early exit marks a disappointing campaign on a surface where he has historically performed well.