Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Naomi OsakaOpen full analysisPaula BadosaOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR128Monday, May 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Osaka 53%47% Badosa
1.85Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Naomi OsakaVSPaula Badosa
7Set 16
1Set 26
4Set 36

Paula Badosa won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Naomi OsakaPaula Badosa
59%
Career Win %
58%
47%
Win % on Clay
80%
75%
Holds Serve
71%
30%
Breaks Serve
36%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
68%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
6.2
Aces / match
4.0
42%
Tiebreak %
40%
56%
Deciding-set %
56%
1672
Rating
1611
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Naomi Osaka97 serves
Where they place their serve
Paula Badosa101 serves
Where they place their serve
10%Wide
16%Body
25%T
15%T
7%Body
26%Wide
18%Wide
16%Body
18%T
14%T
19%Body
16%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide26%
Top targetAd · Body19%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Paula Badosa defeated Naomi Osaka 6–7, 6–1, 6–4 in the first round of Roland Garros on clay, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Osaka held serve through a tight opening set that went to a tiebreak, which Badosa claimed to establish control. The Spaniard then dominated the second set with a decisive 6–1 scoreline, breaking Osaka's resistance before closing out the match in the third. Badosa's ability to raise her level after the opening set proved decisive on the clay surface. The victory marks a significant statement from Badosa in the early rounds at Roland Garros and strengthens her positioning for the tournament ahead.