Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Naomi OsakaOpen full analysisTalia GibsonOpen full analysis

MiamihardR64Saturday, March 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Osaka 66%34% Gibson
1.43Recorded odds2.73
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Naomi OsakaVSTalia Gibson
5Set 17
4Set 26

Talia Gibson won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Naomi OsakaTalia Gibson
59%
Career Win %
48%
64%
Win % on Hard
48%
75%
Holds Serve
73%
30%
Breaks Serve
26%
58%
1st Serve In
58%
72%
1st Serve Won
69%
42%
Return Pts Won
40%
6.2
Aces / match
4.7
42%
Tiebreak %
50%
56%
Deciding-set %
33%
1672
Rating
1535
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Naomi Osaka60 serves
Where they place their serve
Talia Gibson70 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
18%Body
12%T
13%T
25%Body
8%Wide
21%Wide
16%Body
16%T
19%T
3%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body25%
Top targetAd · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Talia Gibson defeated Naomi Osaka 7–5, 6–4 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Gibson, trading at 2.73 odds, outperformed expectations to claim victory over Osaka, who entered as the 1.43 favourite. The American's composed performance across both sets proved sufficient to overcome her higher-ranked opponent in straight sets. Gibson's maiden Masters 1000 win at this stage represents a notable statement of intent, whilst Osaka's early exit marks a disappointing result at one of the circuit's premier events.