Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Otto VirtanenOpen full analysisSebastian KordaOpen full analysis

MarseillehardR32Monday, February 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Virtanen 30%70% Korda
3.29Recorded odds1.38
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Otto VirtanenVSSebastian Korda
6Set 17
7Set 26
6Set 34

Otto Virtanen won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Otto VirtanenSebastian Korda
50%
Career Win %
37%
60%
Win % on Hard
39%
78%
Holds Serve
81%
17%
Breaks Serve
15%
61%
1st Serve In
62%
72%
1st Serve Won
72%
35%
Return Pts Won
34%
12.5
Aces / match
8.0
36%
Tiebreak %
39%
33%
Deciding-set %
44%
1500
Rating
1512
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Otto Virtanen120 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Korda105 serves
Where they place their serve
27%Wide
5%Body
19%T
22%T
4%Body
23%Wide
30%Wide
4%Body
22%T
16%T
5%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Otto Virtanen defeated Sebastian Korda 7–6, 6–7, 6–4 in the first round of the ATP 250 Marseille tournament on hard court on 10 February 2025, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Korda entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.38, while Virtanen was priced at 3.29, yet the Finnish player proved the stronger competitor across three closely contested sets. The match remained competitive throughout, with both players trading tight tiebreaks in the opening two sets before Virtanen secured the decisive third set. The result marks a significant upset and advances Virtanen into the second round, while Korda's tournament campaign ends at the first hurdle.