Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Otto VirtanenOpen full analysisTommy PaulOpen full analysis

WimbledongrassR64Wednesday, July 3, 2024
No-vig market probability
Virtanen 11%89% Paul
9.25Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Otto VirtanenVSTommy Paul
6Set 14
3Set 26
7Set 35
5Set 47
4Set 56

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Otto VirtanenTommy Paul
53%
Career Win %
50%
0%
Win % on Grass
54%
78%
Holds Serve
80%
17%
Breaks Serve
21%
59%
1st Serve In
62%
73%
1st Serve Won
71%
35%
Return Pts Won
37%
12.4
Aces / match
5.1
40%
Tiebreak %
35%
40%
Deciding-set %
55%
1514
Rating
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Otto Virtanen149 serves
Where they place their serve
Tommy Paul151 serves
Where they place their serve
26%Wide
11%Body
15%T
15%T
11%Body
21%Wide
19%Wide
11%Body
23%T
16%T
8%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
Top targetDeuce · T23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Otto Virtanen 4–6, 6–3, 5–7, 7–5, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon on grass, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.1. Virtanen, the considerable underdog at 9.25, competed throughout a five-set encounter that saw momentum shift repeatedly across the match. Paul's superior seeding and ranking advantage ultimately proved decisive in the deciding set, where he secured the crucial break to close out the contest. The American advances to the second round, whilst Virtanen's grass-court campaign ends in the opening round.