Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Pablo Carreno BustaOpen full analysisTommy PaulOpen full analysis

Paris MastershardR16Thursday, November 3, 2022
No-vig market probability
Busta 57%43% Paul
1.71Recorded odds2.27
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Pablo Carreno BustaVSTommy Paul
4Set 16
4Set 26

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Pablo Carreno BustaTommy Paul
40%
Career Win %
50%
41%
Win % on Hard
50%
77%
Holds Serve
80%
17%
Breaks Serve
21%
68%
1st Serve In
62%
68%
1st Serve Won
71%
35%
Return Pts Won
37%
3.6
Aces / match
5.1
53%
Tiebreak %
35%
43%
Deciding-set %
55%
1466
Rating
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Pablo Carreno Busta64 serves
Where they place their serve
Tommy Paul57 serves
Where they place their serve
27%Wide
8%Body
17%T
20%T
3%Body
25%Wide
26%Wide
11%Body
16%T
16%T
7%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6–4, 6–4 in the R16 of the Paris Masters on 3 November 2022, a hard court M1000 event. The result constituted an upset, as Carreno Busta entered as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.71, while Paul was priced at 2.27. Paul's straight-set victory was decisive and composed, allowing him to progress to the quarterfinals with a commanding performance. The win marked a significant scalp for the American against a top-20 opponent at one of the ATP's most prestigious indoor tournaments.