No-vig market probability
Busta 57%43% Paul
1.71Recorded odds2.27
Pablo Carreno BustaVSTommy Paul
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Pablo Carreno BustaTommy Paul
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Tommy Paul defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6–4, 6–4 in the R16 of the Paris Masters on 3 November 2022, a hard court M1000 event. The result constituted an upset, as Carreno Busta entered as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.71, while Paul was priced at 2.27. Paul's straight-set victory was decisive and composed, allowing him to progress to the quarterfinals with a commanding performance. The win marked a significant scalp for the American against a top-20 opponent at one of the ATP's most prestigious indoor tournaments.