FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Peyton StearnsOpen full analysis Solana SierraOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR128Friday, March 6, 2026

No-vig market probability

Stearns 79%21% Sierra

1.18Recorded odds4.57

FINAL RESULT

Match score

Peyton StearnsVSSolana Sierra

5Set 17

5Set 27

Solana Sierra won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Peyton StearnsSolana Sierra

44%

Career Win %

37%

41%

Win % on Hard

27%

63%

Holds Serve

54%

38%

Breaks Serve

30%

63%

1st Serve In

60%

61%

1st Serve Won

59%

45%

Return Pts Won

42%

2.6

Aces / match

1.9

22%

Deciding-set %

100%

1533

Rating

1474

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Peyton Stearns59 serves

Where they place their serve

Solana Sierra75 serves

Where they place their serve

24%Wide

14%Body

17%T

15%T

12%Body

19%Wide

25%Wide

21%Body

7%T

17%T

4%Body

25%Wide

DeuceAdDeuceAd

Top targetDeuce · Wide24%

Top targetDeuce · Wide25%

MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Solana Sierra defeated favoured Peyton Stearns 7–5, 7–5 in the first round of the WTA 1000 Indian Wells tournament on hard court on 6 March 2026, an upset victory given Stearns' odds of 1.18 to Sierra's 4.57. Sierra's straight-sets win over the seeded American marks a significant scalp at the Masters 1000 level and suggests improved form heading into the tournament's later rounds.