Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Peyton StearnsOpen full analysisTatjana MariaOpen full analysis

MadridclayR128Tuesday, April 23, 2024
No-vig market probability
Stearns 66%34% Maria
1.48Recorded odds2.82
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Peyton StearnsVSTatjana Maria
7Set 16
2Set 26
6Set 37

Tatjana Maria won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Peyton StearnsTatjana Maria
44%
Career Win %
54%
50%
Win % on Clay
50%
63%
Holds Serve
71%
38%
Breaks Serve
33%
63%
1st Serve In
57%
61%
1st Serve Won
71%
45%
Return Pts Won
43%
2.6
Aces / match
4.5
62%
Tiebreak %
57%
22%
Deciding-set %
50%
1533
Rating
1528
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Peyton Stearns114 serves
Where they place their serve
Tatjana Maria114 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
18%Body
18%T
10%T
9%Body
30%Wide
13%Wide
12%Body
27%T
22%T
16%Body
10%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tatjana Maria defeated Peyton Stearns 7–6, 2–6, 7–6 in the first round of the Madrid Masters 1000 on clay on 23 April 2024, recording an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Stearns entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.48, but Maria, at 2.82, proved the stronger competitor across the three-set encounter. The match was tightly contested, with both players claiming a tiebreak; Maria claimed the opening set via tiebreak before losing the second decisively, then regrouped to secure the decider in another tiebreak. The result demonstrates Maria's resilience and capacity to perform on clay against seeded opposition at Masters level.