Finland secured a 2–1 victory over Lithuania in World Cup qualifying on 10 September, with the hosts' superior shot conversion proving decisive in Helsinki. Operating in a 4-3-3 formation, Finland dominated the encounter with 11 shots, seven of which found the target, and generated an expected goals total of 1.24 against Lithuania's 0.72 from eight attempts. Lithuania's defensive approach—a 5-4-1 setup—limited Finland's attacking space but ultimately proved insufficient; the visitors managed only three shots on target and their goalkeeper recorded a save percentage of 66.67 per cent, conceding one goal above post-shot expected goals. The margin of victory reflected Finland's clinical finishing and territorial control, though Lithuania demonstrated resilience in a compact defensive structure. Referee Stephanie Frappart oversaw proceedings without significant incident. Finland's efficiency in front of goal strengthens their qualifying credentials considerably.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Finland GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Save %66.7%
Lithuania GK
PSxG conceded–
Goals conceded2
Save %71.4%
Finland's keeper performed right in line with expectations, while Lithuania's keeper kept out 71% of the shots on target.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot