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Sunday, August 16, 2026

Orlando City SCOpen full analysisFC CincinnatiOpen full analysis

MLS 12.51X4.0522.38
SEO Match Summary
Orlando City SC drew 1-1 with FC Cincinnati in MLS, with the hosts’ 4-2-3-1 structure meeting Cincinnati’s more expansive 3-4-3 in a tactically balanced contest. Orlando generated 1.96 xG, compared with Cincinnati’s 1.35, suggesting the home side fashioned the better overall quality of opportunities without turning that edge into a victory. Pavel Bucha scored Cincinnati’s goal, while Tyrese Spicer found the net for Orlando to ensure the points were shared. The visitors’ defensive resilience was underlined by their goalkeeper’s 80 per cent save rate, an important contribution against a side operating with a central attacking midfielder behind a lone striker. Cincinnati’s wing-back system offered width and allowed their front three to remain advanced, while Orlando’s double pivot provided protection and supported their attempts to progress through the middle. With possession evenly divided, neither team controlled the ball for sustained periods, and the contrasting shapes produced a match defined more by structural discipline than territorial superiority. The result adds one point to each side’s MLS tally.
Orlando City SC O Orlando City SC
1 – 1
Draw
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
T. Spicer48' J. Ellis48'
P. Bucha23'
Starting Line-ups
Orlando City SC · 4-2-3-1 FC Cincinnati · 3-4-3
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.35
Shots 17 11
Shots on Target 5 3
Possession 50% 50%
Post-Shot xG Faced 0.46 2.41
Goals Saved Above xG -0.54 +1.41
Yellow Cards 1 2
Corners 10 5
Total Goals2
Formation4-2-3-1vs3-4-3
RefereeTori Penso
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Orlando City SC GK
PSxG conceded0.46
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.54
Save %66.7%
FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded2.41
Goals conceded1
Goals saved1.41
Save %80.0%
FC Cincinnati's keeper stopped about 1.4 goal more than an average keeper would, while Orlando City SC's keeper let in roughly 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot